Although it contains excellent item and that they can optimize the efficiency of the machine public, as reduction of the number of provinces, raised reduction of the available money them parliamentary expenses or taxes more for the classrooms highest, the Italian package follows the same lines of the plan of austerity of the economy Greek, penalizando the workers and the classroom lowest for the irresponsabilidades of the management of the private financial system and the public administration. The plan is concentrated in cuts of expenditures and reduction of the participation of the State in the economy, when the macroeconomic theory teaches exactly the opposite. At crisis moments, as the current one, of liquidity trap also, the keynesiana vision teaches in them to spend more, to raise the state expenditures. Cut of expenses and investments, beyond representing a collapse of the economic results in short term, represents equally modest perspectives in the long stated period. Little investments, little empreendedorismo, minor per capita income imply minor tax collection in the future, maintenance of the taxes of public debt and of reduced capacity of investments. In a scene where economists around of the world wave route to the fiscal and monetary ortodoxia, some voices with a memory not so ephemeral of economic history still destoam.
They are it Nobel of economy Paul Krugman (2008) and the controlling director of the FMI, Christine Lagarde. To them, the solution of the current situation passes, in fact, for the keynesiana alternative. Moment of adjustments of accounts national not if makes in bulge of crisis, but in periods of asceno of cycle economic, when if it can tax plus a population that gains more and produces more, with perspective greaters of balance of the national accounts. These are, however, ideas that do not come escontrando much endorsement in the politics adopted for the countries of the Zone of the Euro. In the United States, the situation is distinct: the austerity mixture it expansionistas politics of incentive to the economic activity, but that they do not occasion effect, in virtue not only of its restricted effectiveness (a US$ plan 447 billion in a economy of US$ 15 trillions), but of the enormous barriers politics to the successive plans launched for the Obama government. The last one of them acertadamente foresees bigger investments in education and infrastructure, at the same time where it brings cuts in social benefits and a planning for reduction of the public deficit in next the ten years. Yes, in fact, this last item must be considered, but not at a moment that the North American industry if retracts, presenting increasing idle capacity. That is, the scene for the next months is not nothing optimistical. The assembly of the ONU in New Iorque this week and the colloquies parallel bars between the main developed economies and the emergent countries do not seem to be next to a viable, keynesiana alternative, for the resolution of the crises European and American. Meanwhile, the stock markets around of the world keep its pfio performance, with high volatileness and capacity to reach, each time more, the production and the real economy.