Contemporary organizations need to prepare more effectively today, at the same time they have to innovate to create businesses that will provide customers tomorrow. And working with the future of working with difficulties. At the end of the future is not what it once was. Now the future is changing, surprising, turbulent, whimsical. There is a component that makes it even more difficult to forecast future uncertainty. The only certainty is that we have certainty of anything, the only certainty is the uncertainty of tomorrow whose characteristics we can not know until that morning did not peek and for many, this morning he came round ever. TEXT AND CONTEXT IN THE FORMULACIN OF PLANS: We can choose the text of a plan but not the context in which that plan is to be performed.
Definition of SCENARIO: It’s the scene or context that specifies the conditions outside our control it is possible to develop my plan. Describe the possible outcomes of my action if it occurs. The actor can only choose your plan and, at best, have some influence on the Terms of context in which they develop. In extreme cases, may not have any influence on the context. Scenario Planning in a rigorous methodology to imagine and explore the possible futures of a company. The scenarios are hypothetical descriptions of what could be the future of the company. PLANEACIN PROCESS FOR SCENARIOS 1. Develop a common understanding. All team members must understand the methodology and its usefulness.